Stanley McChrystal Should Spend More Time Reading Democracy Arsenal Posted by Michael Cohen

For months now, McClatchy correspondents ahve been doing a bang up job covering the war in Afghanistan and the latest piece by Dion Nissenbaum about the problems the US military are experiencing in Marjah is more of the same. In particular, this behind the scenes account of meetings between General McChrystal and civilian strategists is quite eye-opening:

Progress in Marjah has been slow, however, in part because no one who planned the operation realized how hard it would be to convince residents that they could trust representatives of an Afghan government that had sent them corrupt police and inept leaders before they turned to the Taliban.

Um, quotes like these make me think of an eight-letter word that rhymes with Pull-Pit.

I generally have no idea what I'm talking about - and yet nearly four months ago, before the Marjah operation I wrote this:

We've seen 5 previous "surges" into Helmand with little to no success - what reason is there to believe that things have changed now? Is it because every US soldier and officer has memorized FM 3-24? And even if they did, the very idea that the Afghan government is "ready to install local officials to begin reopening schools and clinics" and will do this effectively just seems ludicrous. Last summer, when the Marines last went into Helmand, they were accompanied by what can best be described as trifling support from the Afghan Army - and pretty much no Afghan government support or a US civilian surge. What has changed in the past 6 months for people to believe that this surge will be different?

But look even if you think I'm nothing more than a broken clock, check out what McChrystal said is his review last fall:

There is little connection between the central government and the local populations, particularly in rural areas. The top-down approach to developing government capacity has failed to provide services that reach local communities. GIRoA has not developed the means to collect revenue and distribute resources. Sub-national officials vary in competency and capability and most provincial and district governments are seriously undermanned and under-resourced

The notion that the challenges we've seen in Marjah were unexpected is utterly ludicrous. And if its true, it suggests a lack of military planning that is downright scandalous. The problems we are seeing today in Marjah were completely predictable; the need for more time to stabilize the situation before moving on to Kandahar were patently obvious; the challenge in seeding good governance should come as absolutely no surprise and the pressures from the President's 18-month timeline for beginning troop withdrawals should have been evident to all.

For anyone to plead ignorance three months later is a good indication of how divorced from reality this entire mission has become.

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