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May 28, 2010

Is More Ambitious Foreign Policy A Good Thing?
Posted by Michael Cohen

Shadi asks a fair question, "is a less ambitious foreign policy a good thing?"

Let me flip the question around "Is a more ambitious foreign policy a good thing" . . . especially if we lack the capabilities, resources, influence and will to turn that ambition into reality?

The simple fact is that America's relative power IS in decline. We don't have the power we once had to shape world events (and in fact that ability was always wildly overstated - the possibility of civilization-ending nuclear war tended to focus attention a bit in the Cold War days). That's why a national security strategy for the 21st century should do a better job of setting priorities and weighing costs and benefits.

This NSS doesn't do that. It assumes that we can continue down the same road we've been taking for the past 20 years in American foreign policy; that there are few limits to our power and our capabilities -even if rhetorically we say otherwise. What we need is a national security strategy that is not only more prudent, but also reflective of actual US interests and threats (both of which are far smaller than this NSS would have Americans believe).

This whole process is like a botox injection or an expensive sports car at the age of 55. It might make you feel better or look better . . . but all you're doing is delaying the inevitable need to accept reality! (And with that I declare a moratorium on NSS-related analogies).

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The statement is just bureaucratic junk. Fortunately, he's releasing it during the Gulf disaster, which will help make sure it doesn't attract much attention from the general public. So the hard core foreign policy wonks can debate it for a few days, and then we can all forget it.

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