A Pundit Not a President Posted by Max Bergmann

Matt Yglesias has a great post which really captures a key component of McCain's foreign policy approach - it is rooted in hyperbolic rhetoric mixed with hysterical over reaction. As Matt describes it,

Not only is Russia on the march beyond Tbilisi to Ukraine, Finland, and substantial swathes of Poland but that’s not even the transcendent issue of our time. And North Korea’s nuclear program is “the greatest challenge to U.S. security and world stability today” but that’s not the transcendent issue of our time. And Islamism is the transcendent issue of our time, but not a serious international crisis or an especially great challenge to U.S. security and world stability. Now of course there’s no way to make sense of that, because it’s not supposed to make any kind of sense. McCain just thinks that overreacting is the right reaction to everything. It’s a hysteria-based foreign policy.

Each of those statements from McCain sound like they came from an excited media pundit. Well that’s because they did.

McCain’s approach and tone on foreign policy has always been more emblematic of a tv pundit rather than a sober president. While McCain has attacked Obama as the "celebrity" candidate, the fact is that a bad place to be over the last 25 years has been between John McCain and a TV camera. The New York Times on Sunday noted that one of the first things McCain did after 9-11 was go on just about every TV program - where he incidentally called for attacking about four countries. In its biographical series profiling the candidates the Times also noted that McCain was attracted to the celebrity of the Senate with one close associate noting that McCain “saw the glamour of it. I think he really got smitten with the celebrity of power.” McCain clearly enjoys being on television and he has been a constant commentator on the Sunday news shows and the evening talk news programs.

But TV appearances encourage sound bites, over-the-top rhetoric, and good one-liners, not reasoned and nuanced diplomatic language. This is especially true from guests who are not in the current administration, since you are less likely to get invited back on Face the Nation if you down play a crisis or take a boring nuanced position. Thus on almost every crisis or incident over the last decade, McCain has sounded the alarm, ratcheted up the rhetoric and often called for military action - with almost no regards to the practical implications of such an approach.

The big concern with a McCain presidency – a concern which I am surprised has not been vocalized more fully – is that the U.S. will lurch from crisis to crisis, confrontation to confrontation, whether it be with Iran, North Korea, Russia, Syria, Saudi Arabia, etc. The danger is that McCain’s pundit-like rhetoric will entrap the U.S. in descending spiral of foreign policy brinksmanship. Just think about the very likely scenario of McCain giving Iran/Russia a rhetorical ultimatum and Iran/Russia ignoring it. Now we are stuck - either we lose face by not following through on our threats or we follow through and go to war.  We can’t afford such a reckless approach after the last eight years. For the next eight we need a president not a pundit.   

Comments

[Don Bacon]

"We need a president" -- is that open for discussion?
You need a president, I don't need a president, particularly one who invokes a concocted theory of executive privilege to do any damn thing he wants with the full backing of a rubber-stamp congress.
Executive privilege didn't start with Bush, and unfortunately it won't end with Bush.
General rule: If you want it bad that's how you'll get it.
It seems that the full tragedy of world hegemonic US foreign policy conducted by autocratic presidents is only in Act I.

Here's McCain in October, 2002 trashing the US Constitution:
"The Constitution of the United States designates the President of the United States as Commander-in-Chief. The Congress of the United States plays a role, and I believe that this process we are about to embark on is the appropriate role that Congress should carry out its responsibilities. But at the end of the day, the final, most serious responsibility of sending young American men and women into harm's way rests with the President of the United States."
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2002/10/20021002-7.html

Obama talks with the same authoritarian air. Either of them would be a new Decider, a president we "need."

[Mary]

Well the president of Georgia looked like a pundit too. I guess it's not surprising since they share the same advisor/PR man.

[DVC]

Just move to Canada, then you don't have to worry about ever standing up to anyone.

[Ohmmade]

I think all focus should be on the word "same".

Obama's new ad, which ties Ralph Reed to John McCain, ends with "we can't afford more of the same". This is his 2nd ad to feature this tag line.

Voters don't want the same thing we've had for the last seven years, and McCain's false "maverick" label is letting him off the hook of having been voting with Bush %90+ of the time. Hitting him hard on this "same" meme will have more impact than anything else.

Same wars. Same failed economy. Same foreign policy disaster. Same attitude. Same cabinet. Same lobbyist connections. Same oil buddies. Same billionaire friends.

McSame.

The End.

[c4logic]

It looks awful easy for Old Men to send other folks' sons and daughters to spill their blood on foreign soil. I cannot for the life of me see the value in any of it. What is Georgia to me, or me to Georgia that I should weep? It used to be that we traded other countries for the things we could not produce ourselves, and them likewise. With the rising cost of energy and the rising yuan, China won't be enriching American capitalists much longer. There is no world wide communist revolution. Why all the brinksmanship? Why all the saber rattling? The reality is that we cannot afford to be the Sheriff of the world--we no longer have the money--we gave it al to Blackwater and Halliburton rebuilding Iraq while bridges collapse in Minneapolis.

[Fatherflot]

This really resonates with me. I teach media theory and I guess I'm more sensitized than most people about how "the medium is the message." The point you make regarding McCain gives a perfect example of something I've been sort of vaguely thinking through over the past year or so----that the influence of cable TV punditry has become so overwhelming and universal that it has become the defining style of almost all political discourse (and therefore political thinking) in the U.S. Eric Alterman had an interesting piece on the rise of punditry in general as a function of the new information environment --- news as a commodity delivered to everyone at lightening speed and thousands of hours to fill up with content on cable news networks. It was no longer enough to deliver the latest story -- everyone had it. You had to interpret it, spin it, go "meta" and discuss and debate all the various scenarios regarding how the latest news will "play" with whatever demographic mattered. So the old fashioned columnist, who cultivated sources and had the lowdown on what insiders were thinking was transformed into Chris Matthews and Tim Russert and Andrea Mitchell at one end and Limbaugh/Malkin/O'Reilly/Coulter at the other. They don't deliver scoops; they tell stories about how news can and should be perceived and received.

But it's not just the talking heads who talk and think like this now. It's the meta-language of consultants, marketers, spin-doctors, pollsters, agents, producers, critics, etc. I started to notice athletes adopting this style and then it was politicians. They now seek not so much to "make news" by doing things, rather they "make news" the way pundits do, by spinning what's already been reported.

When Bush made his famous comment about how when you are in his business you have to "catapult the propaganda"---we all laughed at his unintentionally appropriate mangling of the metaphor (I guess he meant "leapfrog the propaganda") --- but upon reflection, what really stands out is that Bush is talking like a pundit here, giving the inside, "horse-race" take on how the business works. I used to have other examples, but I can't remember them at the moment. You've supplied me with McCain as an example.

But yes, everyone's a pundit now and people with real power in major offices sometimes act like they'd like to get in on the "real game" of spinning and going "meta" and doing it in the kind of over-inflated, irresponsible way that the pundits have turned into our REAL "national conversation about politics"

[RS]

This is how a Senator with a *real* grasp of foreign policy speaks:
"These are facts of life in which the United States' relationship with Russia, thank goodness, for 16 years, has worked steadily toward nonproliferation and toward reduction of threats to the U.S. Not to Georgia, but to the U.S. now.

We have got to keep our eye on the ball. This doesn't excuse brutal actions by the Russians. They took advantage of a situation in which we were far away. But at the same time, we need an agenda with Russia, even as we are discussing the agenda with Georgia."

That's Lugar on Blitzer:
http://edition.cnn.com/TRANSCRIPTS/0808/17/le.01.html

[jhm]

He's been in an undisclosed, secure location since he released to the media his call to President Saakashvili saying that Russia's actions "will not go unanswered," but these comments by Vice President* Cheney lead me to ponder whether a President McCain might be closer to a President Cheney than Bush. Of course, even I credit Mr. Cheney with much more introspection and strategic thinking than has Mr. McCain, but I think that his bellicose predispositions, combined with a coterie of unhinged neocons, make the two roughly comparable.

[bdbd]

unfortunately, the hysteria-based, gun and run approach seems to be very effective domestically as a campaign stance, even if it would be close to catastrophic in practice. McCain plays to the near-audience, so to speak

[ronin]

Typical Conservitive Projection, or telegraphing, or both. What they accuse their rivals of doing is what they are doing or about to do.

This happens all the time. As a tactic, it also blurs the issue, since the worst case is a stalemate. ("both sides do it", etc.)

[WHD2]

Phelps did not win the Olympic Butterfly 100 meter final. Milorad Cavic of Serbia won the event and after the race stated that he had won the event. Cavic had already soundly beaten Phelps in the Semifinals of that event! After the race Phelps also stated that he thought he had lost. And even Phelp’s mother first acted as though she thought Phelps had lost! She appeared totally dumbfounded but accepted it! Cavic’s coach said that he would launch a protest. Serbia also “launched a protest.” Then later both the Serbian government (a U.S. proxy/puppet regime installed after the U.S./NATO-led dismemberment/ethnic cleansing of the sovereign country of Yugoslavia, where under Tito everybody lived together in peace) and Cavic and his coach both withdrew their complaints. U.S. Puppet/Proxy Serbia was clearly under extreme pressure from the United States. Serbia in turn put extreme pressure on Cavic and his coach who withdrew their complaint. The United States wanted their “Golden Boy” (Bloomberg TV, August 18, 2008), and refused to permit the reality of the loss to Cavic to spoil the headline heralding Phelps: “A PERFECT FINISH, AN UNMATCHED RECORD.” New York Times (August 17, 2008) The FINA executive Director, Cornel Marculescu, stated that FINA would not permit the release of the footage by Omega the official timekeeper for the Beijing Games of the finish under the phony hard-sell pretext: “We are not going to distribute the footage. We are not doing THESE KINDS OF THINGS. (!) EVERYTHING IS GOOD. (!?) What are you going to do with the footage? See what the Serbians already saw? It is clarified for us beyond any doubt. He’s the winner in any way. (?) He’s the winner no doubt. Even if you could see the pictures, I don’t know how you could use them.” And Cavic the actual winner stated: “If you ask me, it should be accepted and we should move on. I’ve accepted defeat, and there’s nothing wrong with losing to the greatest swimmer there has ever been.” (!?)(New York Times, August 17, 2008) Parentheses added. The answer to this sort of tripe is simply: “What are you afraid of? What do you have to hide from an actual frame-by-frame analysis? Except the victory of Cavic over Phelps! You sound like a liar caught in a clumsy cover-up! You don’t make decisions for me! Big Brother.”

The event was apparently also not actually shown LIVE. It was on a time delay despite the LIVE claim on the TV screen. Within seconds of the finish which showed Phelps in the water after the race he was suddenly being interviewed on the tarmac! Not credible! It is very easy to rig such an event if the race is that close. The U.S. knew that it might be close because of the fact that Cavic had already beaten Phelps in the Semifinals and they could not let anything alter their propaganda use of Phelps to try to improve the true image of the U.S. as the source of all war as well as all economic disparity. A software program can be easily written to cover all eventualities in. The U.S. government can and does routinely hack computers of their adversaries and send computer viruses which completely destroy their adversaries’ hard drives and the entire computer, for example, and more (e.g. monitors by overloading them), as this writer has experienced firsthand. The bottom line for this particular computer program was that unless Cavic won by a clearly visible margin he would “lose” in a very close race, even if he actually won! The 2 electronic touch pads on the walls of the pool can be reversed in their polarity in a digital twinkling, so that even if Cavic touched the wall first it would simply register as Phelps touching the wall. Because if you look closely in that part of the replay which was permitted directly after the race it is quite clear that is exactly what happened. Phelps lost! And he knew that he lost! But he was very happy to accept the false victory! It should be recalled that with the Zapruder film of the JFK Assassination the “commentator” Dan Rather lied about what it showed, falsely stating that Kennedy’s head flew backwards due to totally fabricated so-called “jet effect” violating all laws of physics in response to a supposed bullet fired from behind him, when in fact JFK was hit only by 2 shots from the front. One went through his tie knot and the other was the Dum-Dum bullet that hit him in the head and killed him instantly. (Writer is number one authority on JFK assassination who gave keynote talk on JFK at Ethical Culture Society on November 12, 1975, twelfth anniversary of JFK Assassination but who is not permitted to speak on anti-Communist WBAI radio!)

Both Serbia and the Peoples’ Republic of China (PRC) went along with the fraudulent Phelps’ victory in the 100 meter Fly because of political pressure from the United States. China was indubitably blackmailed and threatened that unless they went along with the crime the U.S. would push the age issue with the clearly underage Chinese girl gymnasts and take away their Olympic Team gold medal. Humiliation the Chinese did not want to accept! This is also the reason that the PRC went along with the U.S. all around victory in girls’ gymnastics which was accomplished by U.S. puppet judges grossly inflating the level of difficulty and execution by the U.S. and doing the reverse and chiseling big-time the level of difficulty and the execution of the vastly superior Chinese girl gymnasts. Shawn Johnson for example, was permitted to usurp second place in the all-around title after putting in very simple routines in the uneven bars and balance beam. Even in the floor exercise Johnson’s level of difficulty and execution were pumped up like a balloon. This modus operandi occurred over and over!

The Serbian government is a U.S. puppet/virtual proxy state which was installed after the U.S. division of Yugoslavia, a country where everyone got along. Serbia is a U.S. puppet just like the government of Georgia, which was incidentally authorized and directed by the U.S. The U.S. openly encouraged Sakashvilli to invade South Ossetia and now falsely denies it. In July 2008 Kindasleezy Rice standing beside him in Tbilisi, offered encouragement to Sakashvilli similar to that given to the later-sacrificed Saddam Hussein on July 25, 1990 by U.S. Ambassador to Iraq, April Glaspie, to invade Kuwait. Glaspie gave Saddam Hussein the green light to invade Kuwait by telling him: “We have no opinion on Arab-Arab conflicts like your border disagreement with Kuwait.” (New York Times, 9/23/90)) The U.S. told Sakashvilli to invade the independent area of South Ossetia while the world was being distracted by the opening ceremony of the Olympic Games. Rice also blurted out at a dinner in Spring 2004 in Washington, D.C. that she was the mistress of the usurper Bush!)

In addition, the U.S. and so-called “Israel” has supplied virtually all of Georgis’s military hardware and the U.S. has admitted to having 2000 military “advisors” and “trainees” in Georgia. Russia Today TV initially reported that “American mercenaries” (all U.S. military personnel today “volunteers” a euphemism for mercenaries) accompanied the invading force into South Ossetia and that some may have been killed. The U.S./Georgian Invasion of South Ossetia was carried out with the primary objective of trying to create ethnic division in the U.S. attempt to discredit, weaken and divide Russia just like they did with Yugoslavia! The U.S.-led capitalist media is a privatized arm of the U.S. government’s so-called “intelligence community” and United Nations have focused only on Russia’s response to the U.S./Georgian invasion of South Ossetia by sending its forces into Georgia. The United States long-range objective is to try to eventually overthrow the Russian government and steal Russia’s unbelievable wealth of natural resources just like the U.S. is doing in Iraq. The situation surrounding Russia today looks dangerously similar to the beginning of a replay of 1940 with the NAZIS on the border of the USSR preparing to invade.

The invasion of South Ossetia was thus a deliberate provocation which Russia had no choice but to respond to and was carried out to achieve several objectives, the first of which is described above but it also has disturbing parallels to the Full Court Press Nuclear Arms Race that the Reagan Regime put on the USSR in the 1980’s which ultimately forced the surrender by Mikhail Gorbachev to the threat of a nuclear war. Capitalist media focus on the Russian response to the invasion of South Ossetia has been used to build public support in Poland for the so-called U.S. “Missile Defense” to be placed in Poland and later the radar to be built in the U.S.-puppet Czech Republic. Public support in Poland, which opposed the U.S. “missile defense” prior to the Russian response in South Ossetia, now supports it! The U.S. was able to place Pershing Nuclear First Strike Nuclear Missiles in Germany 10 minutes from Moscow only after carrying out the 1983 Korean Airliner Provocation in order to discredit the European opposition to the placement of Pershing II First Strike nuclear missiles in Germany, which later caused the surrender by Gorbachev to the threat of an imminent nuclear war. (There was no Soviet “economic collapse” as testified by the CIA on U.S. network TV news in 1990, who stated that they saw no indications of an incipient “economic collapse in the USSR.” This was because there was no economic collapse, but a Soviet surrender to the threat of a nuclear war followed by a long and painful dismantlement of the Soviet Workers’ State leaving the leadership structure in place.) Mikhail Gorbachev’s Op-Ed column in the New York Times, August 20, 2008, was the typical Stalinist (Not Communist!) opportunist response, which did not explain the clever U.S. strategy of provocation and that Russia is forced to respond to these provocations. He also lied through omission by omitting the U.S. objectives of these provocations. By explaining the provocations Russia would be able to explain how the U.S. intends to manipulate public opinion. This way the public in all countries can be on their guard not to allow themselves to be manipulated by the country which lied about “Weapons of Mass Destruction” in Iraq.

The U.S. has just signed an agreement to build a so-called “missile defense” system in Poland which includes missile interceptors. Obviously the number of missiles in Poland will begin to increase exponentially as the U.S. orchestrates provocation after provocation on the border of Russia. This so-called “missile defense” is actually part of a Nuclear First Strike plan by the United States as was explained back in the 1980’s when the U.S. put a full court press on the USSR with a runaway nuclear arms race and “Star Wars” to force the Soviet surrender by Gorbachev in 1988. The “Missile Defenses” are used simultaneously with a U.S. Nuclear First Strike in order to try to cripple the Russian response to the U.S. First Strike. The U.S. is hoping that they will win the game of “chicken” like they did in the 1980’s and that the Russians will back down and make a second surrender as they did in 1988. This is the present strategy centerpiece of U.S. “statecraft” with Russia.

Today ninety-five percent of New Yorkers agree that we need a new system based on human need not private profit. A Socialist Revolution in the United States will end the basis for all war and set the stage for solving the entire complex of problems created by capitalism, which threaten the survival of humankind. Capitalism cannot be reformed through elections or by any other means because the capitalist dictatorship is left in place and because capitalism has an internal dynamic of its own which leads to a constantly hardening capitalist dictatorship finally to Fascism, barbarism and the end of civilization. Politicians rise to the surface to the extent that they express and further this almost entirely one-way dynamic. The “presidential elections” are the primary weapon of the capitalists, which is used to try to perpetuate the illusion of “democracy” in what is a constantly hardening capitalist dictatorship. If you vote for anyone you are neutralized and are a sucker! Today capitalism is in its Final Stage of Permanent War and State Terrorism.

The United States Invasion of Iraq is one more act of State Terrorism and has resulted in the deaths of 1.2 million Iraqis by September 2007 according to National Public Radio. Now the number is more like 1.5 million. Capitalism offers a world with no future! Remember that in the end all wars are won and lost on morale and every movement begins with the call. The first call must be to deprive the capitalists of bodies of armed men to send against the masses, by calling for the only political position with successful historical precedent: Call for Mutiny in Iraq as in Vietnam, the real reason and the ONLY reason the Vietnam War ended on the spot in 1975 after the Third Marine Division turned their guns around on their officers forcing the immediate and total evacuation of all U.S. troops in days and hours. The capitalist demagogues/stooges Obama, Clinton, McCain, etc. all call for “Phased Redeployment,” which means in practice simply transferring some forces from Iraq to Afghanistan (Obama, e.g.) or elsewhere and leaving a puppet government in place in Iraq. Mutiny Saves Lives! Mutiny is provided for by the Declaration of Independence which is actually a transitional document which supports a Socialist Revolution in the United States! Remember that when the U.S. invades a country they never leave. The U.S has a military presence in over 130 countries right now...and counting. Blackwater USA, Custer Battles, Dyncorp, etc and all 45,000 armed military contractors are paid 4 times what the regular U.S. mercenary marauder/cutthroat forces are paid in order to induce loyalty and are a NAZI-like SS (Schutzstaffel) formation which is in Iraq for one purpose only—to protect the Officer Corp in the event of another Mutiny—NOT to protect “diplomats,” the phony cover story foisted on an unsuspecting public. The U.S. created a mercenary army to replace the previous enlisted army used in Vietnam as the yet another tactic to try and prevent reoccurrence of mutiny. Therefore the present U.S. military mercenary army must get its act together, realize that their interests as well as the interests of all humankind are violated by the invasions of Iraq, etc. They will have to turn their guns around on their officers who must all be immediately arrested unless they join and support the Mutiny and then they must fight and decisively defeat Blackwater and the other 45,000 military contractors, which they can easily do if they organize themselves to do it, because the regular army is much larger and has heavier weapons. The key is organization. That is why the Call for Mutiny in Iraq must come from the United States!

[Chris Mealy]

Max Bergmann, you have found the key to John McCain. It all makes sense now.

Now, which pundit is he? I think he's simpleminded enough and jingoistic enough to be a William Kristol. Except Kristol doesn't have a temper, and Kristol probably knows he's full of crap anyway.

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