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May 30, 2007

Kassam Rocket Threat
Posted by David Schanzer

I am posting from Tel Aviv.

From afar, it may be easy to underestimate the seriousness of the threat from the Kassam rockets being launched from Gaza into Israel on almost a daily basis.  The rockets are wildly inaccurate, usually hit nothing, and seem a weapon of desperation, especially compared to suicide bombs, which are deployed with pinpoint accuracy and cause devastating death and destruction.

Yet, despite the power of suicide bombs, Israel has been amazingly successful preventing these attacks in recent years.  The Kassam attacks, however, are very difficult to prevent -- the bombs are cheap and plentiful, the supply seems unlimited, and they can be launched from anywhere close to the border. 

A key difference between the Kassams and suicide attacks is that the Kassams can target a specific geographic community -- in this case the town of Sderot -- and deployment of massive law enforcement resources would do nothing to provide additional protection to that community.

The only way to provide absolute protection is for citizens to leave.  And here lies the grave threat to Israel.  Separating people from their land, especially land within Israel's undisputed permanent borders, contravenes Israel's credo and identity.  For decades, Jews have stood firm on the land against all opposition, no matter how powerful.  But sitting in bomb shelters helplessly, just hoping the bombs miss, without any ability to fight back, is especially upsetting and demoralizing. 

Israel's retaliatory measures should be evaluated based on the genuine threat the Kassams pose, not the inaccurate perception that they are mainly a harmless annoyance.   

   

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Well said. As Israelis often like to point out, if Mexico were lobbing missiles over the Rio Grande, the reaction of the US would probably not be "proportionate" in the sense that critics of Israel mean. And no one on the other side can put a signature to a treaty that would ban the missile launches, and then carry out the ban. If Fatah signed, elements in Hamas would launch. If both Hamas and Fatah signed, Islamic Jihad would launch. If those three signed (And IJ never would), then PFLP or rebellious groups within the other three or simply disorganized gangs could launch Kassams. No one has a monopoly on the use of force on the Palestinian side. Without that, there can be no peace.

For decades, Jews have stood firm on the land against all opposition, no matter how powerful.

True - even on the land that's not theirs!

As Israelis often like to point out, if Mexico were lobbing missiles over the Rio Grande, the reaction of the US would probably not be "proportionate" in the sense that critics of Israel mean.

No doubt. On the other hand, if the United States were building permanent American towns and cities in Durango, Jarisco, and Zacatecas, and a new border wall halfway across Sonora, Chihuahua, Coahuila and Nuevo Leon, you could see the Mexicans' point.

Israel has had forty years to get out of the West Bank and has chosen the path of annexation instead. I've sorta lost my esteem and compassion for the brave sabra youth and all, standing tall on the land etc., etc.

I've got to hand it to Israelis and Palestinians, however, for enacting the most tiresome conflict in all of human history. Truly a work of art.

My fondest dream remains that some genius at MIT invents an engine that gets 50mpl on cow dung, so the US and all the rest of the globe's petroleum-hungry countries can get the hell out of that miserable region, and leave its various warring inhabitants to their own devices.

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