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May 12, 2011

New Middle East Speech: Is there one story the President Can Tell Americans and the World?
Posted by Heather Hurlburt

Even leaving aside the thorny problem of a Middle East peace plan, the White House has set itself a very difficult challenge in putting a "New Middle East speech" on the agenda:  too much demand.  Americans are still struggling to decide what to make of events from Tunisia and Egypt to Libya to Syria to Pakistan.  The political jockeying over them has paused, well, no, it hasn't, with Mitch Daniels wrapping himself in the flag of Syrian protestors today.  Meanwhile, the peoples of the region mix hope, skepticism, and some well-deserved indifference -- the Egyptians made their own revolution, after all -- our way.  Speaking to one audience in a way that is intelligible and doesn't trip on the internal quirks of the other audience will be enormously difficult.  Herewith, four themes that should cross the divide:]

Aligning U.S. interests with values.  Americans cheered with Egyptians --and Syrians -- in the streets and prayed for Ghaddafi's victims as they did for bin Laden.  time to remind everyone that Muslims suffered greatly from Al Qaeda terrorism, and to re-amplify the Administration's words about the rights of peoples everywhere.  Time also to explain to Americans how, long-term, this will be in our security interest.

No cookie-cutters, no short-term fixes, no naivete.  My "three nos" for the Middle East.  Arab peoples themselves, and their well-wishers abroad, will have to invest in economic growth, institutional reform and rule of law.  The US will have to be patient and get used to partners who speak their own minds and take their time -- and sometimes take decisions that we don't like.  Equally, our core interests -- including Israel's security but also our economic and terrorism cocnerns -- will still be our core interests.  And, tragically, there are no quick fixes.

The civilian toolkit comes of age.  American and Arab audiences alike can profitably hear the US make a new commitment to leading with diplomatic, economic, social and communications tools -- from Twitter to debt relief -- and to spell out how, if the US invests in those tools, and in partnerships that let other countries and institutions do some of the work, we'll reap rewards even in a time of sparse budgets.

Understanding the challenges ahead.  Firm messages to Al Qaeda and other estremist groups that they will not be allowed to grow strong at the expense of weak new governments; to Iran that efforts to gain in the region will further expose its government's own weakness as its people seek the freedom of Egyptians.  And a down payment on the Israeli-Palestinian peace process -- unfortunately, perhaps the thing the Arab world wants most to hear -- a pledge of unshakable support for Israel, and greater engagement with the Israeli people (ie, a trip date...) combined with plain language about how Israel must prepare itself to make peace and live in a world of newly- and legitimately-empowered Arab citizens; and a pledge of continued support for legitimately elected Palestinian authorities that meet the conditions previously set out (ie, who is in government and how matters, even under a Fatah-Hamas unity government) and that use the public legitimacy conferred by teh unity government to take, as well, the hard steps to get ready for peace.

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