Had We But World Enough And Time, This Coyness, Senate GOP, Were no Crime* Posted by Heather Hurlburt

Some of the more thoughtful right-of-center voices on the New START Treaty debate have picked up a new theme in recent days:  it's not that we're going to oppose the treaty, it's just that we need more time.

Henry Sokolski wrote:

Assuming the Senate gets down to business now and starts deliberating, ratification early in 2011 is both feasible and reasonable. Trying to short-circuit this process, on the other hand, is more likely to result in more of what we have already have — an unhelpful game of political chicken.

Talking points have gone to Hill offices asserting that the 13 months between submission and ratification of START I in 1991-2 (Bush 1, Democratic Senate, whatever that's worth) should be the norm.  But something rather significant -- the breakup of  the Soviet Union -- occurred after the treaty was signed and submitted, requiring negotiation of an addendum to the Treaty.  I'm wracking my brain on what of similar significance has happened since New START's April 8 signing and May 13 submission to the Senate.  Maybe commenters can help me out.

Perhaps of more relevance:

• President Reagan's INF Treaty was approved in four months (1988);
• President H.W. Bush's CFE Treaty was approved in four and a half months, during the collapse of the Warsaw Pact (1991);
• Treaties for each of the three rounds of NATO expansion have been approved in ten weeks or less by Senates controlled by both parties (1998, 2003, 2008).  

INF and START I, and the first round of NATO expansion, were epochal, strategy-shifting documents that had taken many years to conceptualize and negotiate over harsh criticism and divides.  Yet Trent Lott, George Mitchell, and Harry Reid managed to lead the Senate through what its members seemed to think was sufficient debate in 10-20 weeks.  A document amending the CFE Treaty was approved by a Republican Senate in just five weeks (1997).

It's not as if Secretary Gates, Admiral Mullen, 8 former Secretaries of Defense and State, 3 former National Security Advisers, the former head of Strategic Command (STRATCOM), and several dozen other national security leaders who have given the treaty full-throated endorsements are going to change their minds.  

Indeed, our allies are already complaining about slowness and people such as Brent Scowcroft and Chuck Hagel are using words like "state of chaos" and "worst possible outcome since World War II" to describe what happens if the treaty doesn't pass promptly.

*Andrew Marvel, "To His Coy Mistress."  All those @Shakespalin tweets inspired me.

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It was 4.5 mos from the time that the Senate got the Lisbon Protocol to START I and the vote on the Resolution of Ratification. The SFRC couldn't even begin hearings until it had the Lisbon Protocol. It did have a series of hearings before it got the Protocol, but those were more generally about the future of U.S.-Russian relations now that the Soviet Union had collapsed, and the place for arms control in that general relationship.

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