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May 27, 2010

Obama's NSS - Assessing Threats
Posted by Michael Cohen

The security section of the National Security Strategy is perhaps the most interesting and revelatory of the report.

First a quibble; "This Administration has no greater responsibility than protecting the American people." Actually, re-read the Inaugural Oath - the president's greatest responsibility is to uphold the Constitution. When you start believing that protecting the American people is more important than upholding the rule of law well then places like Gitmo start making a lot more sense.

But the larger issue is with the nature of the key "threats" to security that the paper argues the US must focused on - defeating al Qaeda and its extremist allies in Afghanistan, Pakistan and elsewhere; reversing the spread of nuclear and biological weapons; advancing peace and opportunity in the Middle East; building capacity in countries ripe for insecurity and protecting cyberspace.

Now I realize that I might get drummed out of the Very Serious Foreign Policy Community for saying this, but color me unconvinced that these are the most serious threats facing the country. Indeed, I think the biggest immediate threat - as the NSS correctly points out elsewhere - comes from the erosion in US economic competitiveness.

Moreover, it's very odd to talk about threats to US security and not have number #1, #2 and #3 be climate change. From a long-term perspective none of the challenges above can hold a candle to global warming and yet it's referenced in the back of the report under the section header "Values." Protecting the environment isn't a value; it's a national priority.  And what about global health pandemics or the growing phenomenon of transnational criminal networks. These are serious challenges and they are given short shrift in the report. In fact, I'm really hard pressed to see advancing peace and security in the Middle East as a crucial national security goal or one that the US can easily achieve. And while curbing terrorism and nuclear proliferation are clearly important I wonder if the emphasis in the NSS only continues their outsized prominence in national security discussions.

When it comes to dealing with long-tern challenges, it seems to me that Obama's NSS is a bit too mired in short-term thinking.  

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Michael, you know that we advance peace by going to war and seek to defeat AQ in Afghanistan although AQ is not in Afghanistan. It's proper Newspeak. But I admire you for trying, and in fact you are one of the clearest and strongest voices out there now. Please keep up the good fight.

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