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May 07, 2010

David Brooks Has A Lot to Learn About COIN
Posted by Michael Cohen

I wish I had the time and the inclination to do a blogging-style machete attack against David Brooks valentine to COIN and St. Petraeus in the New York Times today. But instead a quick, pin-point strike will have to do. Brooks writes:

They say that intellectual history travels slowly, and by hearse. The old generation has to die off before a new set of convictions can rise and replace entrenched ways of thinking. People also say that a large organization is like an aircraft carrier. You can move the rudder, but it still takes a long time to turn it around.

Yet we have a counterexample right in front of us. Five years ago, the United States Army was one sort of organization, with a certain mentality. Today, it is a different organization, with a different mentality. It has been transformed in the virtual flash of an eye, and the story of that transformation is fascinating for anybody interested in the flow of ideas.

The first thing here is that Brooks' history of how that change occurred - because of the tireless advocacy of David Petraues and his merry band of academic-warrior COINdinistas - is not only simplistic, it's offensive to the many military officers on the ground in Iraq who were forced to adapt and transform the way the war was being fought. They weren't waiting for Petraeus and other general to parachute into their FOBs and tell them what to do. And this was happening well before 2006-2007.

But the more important point here is that while there has been a transformation in the US military toward COIN . . . why is that necessarily a good thing? The fetishization of COIN is as bad, if not worse, than the "old generation" thinking that Brooks dismisses because it silences alternative viewpoints and tactical options from which civilian policymakers must choose.

Case in point: Stan McChrystal's 2009 strategic review for Afghanistan that offered the President one, and only one, option for how to "win" in Afghanistan -population centric counter-insurgency. If that isn't an example of a "blinkered Army mindset," which Brooks bemoans . . . .well then I don't know what is.

But the better example of course is that there is no perhaps no place in the world worse to do counter-insurgency than Afghanistan. Perhaps instead of writing love letters to David Petraeus, Brooks could buy the Army's Counter-Insurgency Manual, FM 3-24 and try to figure out how to square this statement from pg. 199 "Success in counterinsurgency (COIN) operations requires establishing a legitimate government supported by the people and able to address the fundamental causes that insurgents use to gain support," which the current corrupt and illegitimate regime that is our "ally" in Afghanistan.

Or perhaps he could explain to patient New York Times readers how past counter-insurgents have been successful at a) defeating an insurgent force without the use of coercion and violence against civilian populations or b) have defeated an insurgent force that relied on an external safe haven - as is the case today with the Afghan Taliban in Afghanistan.

Or maybe he could take some time to read David Finkel's extraordinary Good Soldiers - or Joe Klein's excellent reporting from southern Afghanistan - to get a fuller sense as to whether, "counterinsurgency doctrine has been bred into their bones" of our enlisted men.

The point here is that the education process Brooks thinks is so wonderful has some fairly significant intellectual holes . . . but that hasn't stopped Army thinking from becoming fixated on the platitudes of population-centric COIN.  And because the of that "blinkered thinking" we continue to try and stick the square peg of counter-insurgency into the round hole of Afghanistan. I ask this question all the time and I'd love for a COIN advocate to give me an answer: If not for the fact that COIN is the "new black" in the US military; and if not for the supposed success of COIN in stabilizing Afghanistan; and if not for the publication of FM 3-24 and the veneration of COIN by Petraeus et all, would anyone think that doing counter-insurgency in Afghanistan is a good idea?

Brooks is right that there has been a transformation in the US military toward counter-insurgency. Where he's wrong is in believing that this is something to be celebrated.

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Everything you write is well-reasoned and I share your concerns. As a COIN advocate I would like to offer some sort of answer.

America’s fundamental dilemma is that while no other form of warfare fits the environment, the conditions of a successful counterinsurgency aren’t found in Afghanistan. As you point out, the Taliban is the world’s most advanced insurgency in one of the least developed countries. America is testing its new COIN against the cream of the crop, a schism that creates many of America’s problems.

Not sure if you caught the RAND report on How Insurgencies End, but your reasoning implies that you have: “explain to patient New York Times readers how past counter-insurgents have been successful at a) defeating an insurgent force without the use of coercion and violence against civilian populations or b) have defeated an insurgent force that relied on an external safe haven - as is the case today with the Afghan Taliban in Afghanistan.”

Simply, counterinsurgents don't succeed and we return to the same problem: though COIN is the only practical option in Afghanistan, the Taliban hold most of the advantages a successful insurgent can possess. Washington is attempting to cover up fundamental weaknesses with the rest of COIN doctrine - protect the population, civilian surge, “hearts and minds.” That's why it feels so sickening.

And at the strategic level, even though Obama is the symbolic chief of Afghanistan the war is still in total control of the Pentagon. This is inexcusable to David Galula.

I do think a population-centric COIN is the only possible means of restoring stability and governance in Afghanistan, and I'm a big believer in COIN. What I doubt is that real COIN is being applied - this is more pseudo-COIN. Worse still, COIN focuses on choosing to fight or not as much as knowing how to fight. 9/11 aside, Afghanistan was never a wise counterinsurgency to enter.

And now America is too deep to withdraw, which in itself crosses a COIN redline and leads to media coverups like Brooks’.

What was even more astounding was Exum's very strange effort for CNAS today. That was just plain odd.

Very informative article. Greatly discussed, love to read that. Actually I love to read about the this fundamentals and strategies and all this democracy topics.

"though COIN is the only practical option in Afghanistan"

Why would anyone default to this? That's the problem when the paradigm takes over reality: We get assumptions about options, to the point that Babbling Brooks can put on the back of his cocktail napkin an essentialist notion of warmaking that belies any real understanding of history, culture or time.

COIN is bullshit, and real soldiers don't buy it.

First, one must recognize that counter-insurgency is a misnomer for what the US military attempts to do. The US has overthrown governments and has then incorrectly labeled the resulting resistance as "insurgencies," and what are known as freedom-fighters in US allies become known as insurgents and terrorists. Thinking military officers (if any) know this.

This leads to the next failure. The US puppet governments have no popular support and therefore COIN doctrine -- helping a "host government" fight an insurgency -- doesn't apply. McChrystal's answer is to switch from a COIN government-centric effort to a "population-centric" effort which includes buying off tribal leaders and members, which actually undermines the central government.

Then comes the biggest failure. Since the US military is trained and equipped to blow up stuff and kill people, the population-centric approach is doomed.

But hey, there's a lot of profit in endless war so it isn't as if nobody benefits.

Neither conventional war nor counter-terrorism will achieve anything by themselves against an insurgency. Non-military operations still require security forces, otherwise completing them is nearly impossible. All of these spectrums must be combined. I don’t mean to say COIN will succeed in Afghanistan or elsewhere, but real COIN is one of America’s few real options - if not the only one. I agree that entirely new concepts of war are necessary.

Not sure if you caught the RAND report on How Insurgencies End, but your reasoning implies that you have: “explain to patient New York Times readers how past counter-insurgents have been successful at a) defeating an insurgent force without the use of coercion and violence against civilian populations or b) have defeated an insurgent force that relied on an external safe haven - as is the case today with the Afghan Taliban in Afghanistan.”

I somewhere have a strong feeling that he has got an account that is largely correct.Bringing someone back to “the national life” takes a lot more then soldiers on every street corner. It takes that local level politician or tribal leader to persuade him to come back.

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America’s fundamental dilemma is that while no other form of warfare fits the environment, the conditions of a successful counterinsurgency aren’t found in Afghanistan. As you point out, the Taliban is the world’s most advanced insurgency in one of the least developed countries. America is testing its new COIN against the cream of the crop, a schism that creates many of America’s problems.

Not sure if you caught the RAND report on How Insurgencies End, but your reasoning implies that you have: “explain to patient New York Times readers how past counter-insurgents have been successful at a) defeating an insurgent force without the use of coercion and violence against civilian populations or b) have defeated an insurgent force that relied on an external safe haven - as is the case today with the Afghan Taliban in Afghanistan.”

Simply, counterinsurgents don't succeed and we return to the same problem: though COIN is the only practical option in Afghanistan, the Taliban hold most of the advantages a successful insurgent can possess. Washington is attempting to cover up fundamental weaknesses with the rest of COIN doctrine - protect the population, civilian surge, “hearts and minds.” That's why it feels so sickening.

Not sure if you caught the RAND report on How Insurgencies End, but your reasoning implies that you have: “explain to patient New York Times readers how past counter-insurgents have been successful at a) defeating an insurgent force without the use of coercion and violence against civilian populations or b) have defeated an insurgent force that relied on an external safe haven - as is the case today with the Afghan Taliban in Afghanistan.”

Take the local politician or tribal leader to persuade him to come back.Washington attempts to conceal the fundamental weaknesses with the rest of the COIN doctrine - to protect the population, civil driven "hearts and minds." C This is why it feels so disgusting.

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Orjin Krem Emilimi çok güçlü olduğundan etkisini dakikalar içerisinde gösterir.
Orjin Krem Bitki özleri sayesinde kasların rahatlamasına ve gerilimin giderilmesine yardımcı olur.
Orjin Krem 100 ML ve 25 ML set olarak satılmaktadır.
Orjin Krem iki kutu bir arada bir kutu içerisindedir holagram bulunmaktadır.
Orjin Krem alındıktan sonra bandrollü sayesinde sahte olup olmadığını kontrol edebilirsiniz.

the only possible means of restoring stability and governance in Afghanistan, and I'm a big believer in COIN. What I doubt is that real COIN is being applied - this is more pseudo-COIN. Worse still, COIN focuses on choosing to fight or not as much as knowing how to fig

counterinsurgents don't succeed and we return to the same problem: though e Taliban hold most of the advantages a successful insurgent can possess. Washington is

This summer is shaping an ugly political/military battle over the December 2010 review and will explode in 2011. The propaganda has been and will be as vicious as the fighting.

I always enjoy reading such posts which provide knowledge based information like this blog.prox megamen Thanks for sharing it with us.

hahaha,,,it is a good article.

Lezzetli ve egzotik bir meyve olan altın çilek sağlık açısından ve tıbbi açıdan çok fazla faydaya sahiptir.
Son dönemin en ilgi çeken besinlerinden birisi olan altın çilek kilo vermek isteyenlerin gözdesi olmuştur.altın çilek form seti
Yüksek lifli özelliğiyle olan meyvesir.altın çilek faydaları

Altın Çilek Dünyanın en zengin lif oranına sahip olan meyvesi olduğunu bilinmektedir.altın çilek
Altın Çilek denilince birden fazla yararları olan bir meyve oldugu bilinmektedir.

하나의 놀라운 게시 주셔서 감사합니다! 내가 정말 당신은 위대한 author.I 내가하고 블로그를 즐겨찾기에 그렇게 자주 언젠가 곧 돌아올거야 확인을 할 것입 있으며, 그것을 읽는 즐겼다.
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grea post i like it

possible means of restoring stability and governance in Afghanistan, choosing to fight or not as much as knowing how to fight. 9/11 aside, Afghanistan was never a wise counterinsurgency to

Oklahoma banned Sharia Law (taking into account any court case which uses Islamic system of Sharia Law) in 2010 by 70% of voters. A Federal judge has placed a temporary injunction on the ballot measure to weigh the constitutionality of the rights of the voters versus the rights of the individual according to CNN. GOOGLE “americanthinker sharia law” and click on the “top ten reasons why sharia is bad for all societies” link to see why this is bad.

This is one of the best Harry/ Ginny/ Draco videos I have ever seen. I can honestly say I've watched this vid like 20 times. You also gave me a great idea for a Harry Potter fanfic story that I have been working on. But I did want to ask if it is ok to use the concept of your vid for my story. It is just such a great concept. Keep up the good work. I have also enjoyed watching your other vid's you do some very amazing work....KEEP EM COMING!

ut in far more effort than the blowbags like you. manner, don't run for public office and do just that...my guess is that it's a little bit like being the arm chair quarterback.

as Afghans.We should not forget he has been awarded many honours.

9/11 aside, Afghanistan was never a wise counterinsurgency to

weaknesses with the rest of COIN doctrine - protect the population, civilian surge, “hearts and minds.” That's why it feels so sickening

aliban hold most of the advantages a successful insurgent can possess. Washington is attempting to cover up fundamental weaknesses with the rest of COIN doctrine - protect the population, civilian surge, “hearts and minds.” That's why it feels so sickening

America still treats it as the root disease. This new NSS seems little more than smoke and mirrors to me, substituting costly counterinsurgency for cheap counter-terrorism. Not only will counterproductivity result, isn't this a tacit admission that al-Qaeda really is bleeding America out?

Hola,Ha hecho un trabajo muy bueno. Hay muchas personas en busca de eso ahora van a encontrar suficientes fuentes por tus consejos.espera para obtener más consejos acerca de que

There are may person searching about that now they will find enough resources by your post,

parabentente sistemleris por mais esse post

America still treats it as the root disease. This new NSS seems little

weaknesses with the rest of COIN doctrine - protect the population, civilian surge, “hearts and minds.” That's why it feels so sickening.

Brilliant blog. I found your post very interesting, I think is a brilliant writer. oyunlar I added your blog to my favorites and oyunwill return in the future.

parabenoyunlarıs por mais esse post

But I did want to ask if it is ok to use the concept of your vid for my story. It is just such a great concept.
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I’m impressed!!! Really informative blog post here my friend. I just wanted to comment & say keep up the quality work.
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This is one of the good articles you can find in the net
explaining everything in detail regarding the topic.revivaly pembe maske I thank
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lot of readers out there.

possible means of restoring stability and governance in Afghanistan, choosing to fight or not as much as knowing how to fight. 9/11 aside, Afghanistan was never a wise counterinsurgency to.

Thank you for sharing.

But I did want to ask if it is ok to use the concept of your vid for my story. It is just such a great concept.

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