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March 30, 2010

SUCK ON THIS Revisited - Or Why Journalists Make Lousy Foreign Policy Analysts
Posted by Michael Cohen

Matt Yglesias posted this absolutely disgusting clip of Tom Friedman declaring his rationale for the Iraq War as a message to the Arab World of SUCK ON THIS. It's appalling and worth watching in its entirety just to get the full effect of Friedman's horrifying sanctimony and utter seriousness. That this is considered serious foreign policy analysis is the clearest indication imaginable that much of what masquerades for foreign policy analysis in this country is anything but serious.

But I link to this because it is a further reminder of one of my greatest, yet somewhat incoherent, pet peeves - the notion that journalists make for insightful foreign policy analysts. Friedman has consistently shown himself to be less than stellar in this regard - especially in his advocacy for the Iraq war - and in this particularly appalling op-ed about escalation in Afghanistan. His shortcoming, as is the case with so many journalists, is the inclination to overdramatize the importance of anecdotal experiences; like placing great importance on a) a conversation he had with a cab driver or b) conversation had with foreign CEO or c) meeting two little girls in Afghanistan. 

I would just ascribe these faults to Friedman, but I feel like it's endemic in the profession - a propensity to make grand simplistic pronouncements based on anecdotal experiences rather than rigorous analysis. Granted this is a problem in not just foreign policy, but it seems particularly bad in this field. Maybe its because foreign correspondents are seen to have some sort of unique insight; when in fact the opposite is quite likely true because they are basing their analysis on immediate experience rather than actual historical or cultural study. Or maybe it's the difficulty that journalists face in getting to the heart of a story - a point bravely raised here by Jerome Starkey in regard to Western coverage of NATO's efforts in Afghanistan.

Or maybe its because journalists are somehow taught to think and write in black and white terms and don't necessarily address the nuances that are endemic in foreign policy analysis. (The Friedman clip above is perhaps the quintessential example; I mean seriously is there anything more simplistic or stupid than believing if the US military comes into Baghdad with a "big stick" it will "teach" Muslims to stop engaging in terrorism).

Or maybe its because DC journalists tend to get sucked into the overwhelming aura of groupthink that dominates that town - and parrot conventional wisdom as if they've wandered into some great and insightful analysis.

Or maybe its because news programs prefer journalists to academics . .  .which makes the growing inclination of academics to blog one of the better recent developments in foreign policy analysis.

I really don't have a good answer to this issue, but I don't think I'm crazy in thinking this a maddening feature of foreign policy coverage today. It can't just be that Thomas Friedman says really crazy and simplistic things on TV about the Iraq War and yet is still seen as one of the country's top foreign policy analysts. Surely there is something else going on here . . .

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Right, Michael, I'll take a commentator over a journalist every time -- but if you're so great why can't you do anything about "truck belt tensioner?" Or do commentators make lousy editors?

I fail to see what's so "appalling" about Friedman's thoughts. The clip shows Friedman giving his rationale for the war in the context of answering the question, "Was the invasion of Iraq worth it?" I don't see any use of so-called anecdotal evidence in the clip. I do see that Friedman's use of his "bubble" metaphor is annoying. He calls the growth of Islamic fanaticism a "bubble" that grew in the '90s based on two elements: the ideology of radical Islam itself and growing acceptance of the ideology by the clerical class and by ordinary Muslims; the strategy of so-called asymmetric warfare whereby the poor and weak level the balance of power against the rich and strong. Based on these two elements, he says, ordinary Muslims and clerical authorities were able to say, "It's OK" to deliberately murder civilians, even women and children, in pursuit of domination.

I challenge you to refute any or all of the following: At about 1:31 he says,

"What we learned on 9/11 in a "gut" way was that that bubble was a fundamental threat to our open society. There is no INS agent smart enough, no wall high enough, no metal detector efficient enough, to protect an open society from people motivated by that bubble. What we needed to do was to go over to that part of the world, I'm afraid, and burst that bubble. We needed to go over there and take out a very big stick, right in the heart of that world, and burst that bubble. And there's only one way to do it, because part of that bubble said, 'We've got you. This bubble is actually going to level the balance of power between us and you because we don't care about life. We're ready to sacrifice. All you care about are your stock options and your economies.'"

Then comes the appalling part:

"What they needed to see was American boys and girls going house to house […] saying […] 'You don't think we care about our open society? You think this bubble fantasy, we're just going to let it grow? Well… Suck. On. This. […] We hit Iraq because we could."

So taken in context, Friedman's vulgarity is quite right. He's trying to imitate the speech of the troops. He is open to criticism for the ineptness of his imitation, but there's nothing "appalling" about the thought at all.

I assume he supports the invasion but one could equally assume that he's only offering an analysis that he may or may not agree with personally. It is, in fact, an analysis.

Your post, on the other hand, is a much better example of "horrifying sanctimony and utter seriousness" than anything Friedman says here. You assume that all high-minded, serious people will nod their heads along with you as you make "make grand simplistic pronouncements" such as, "I mean seriously is there anything more simplistic or stupid than believing if the US military comes into Baghdad with a "big stick" it will "teach" Muslims to stop engaging in terrorism?" Friedman never said that the invasion would "teach" Muslims that terrorism was bad. He said it was the only way to protect our open society. Or is that too nuanced a thought for such as serious national security strategist like you?

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