Five Strawmen* About Afghanistan Posted by Michael Cohen

Today in the Washington Post, Michael O'Hanlon and Hassina Sherjan have written one of the strangest and most confusing op-eds about Afghanistan (and that really is saying something). Its an effort to 'pop' five myths about the war in Afghanistan; but instead it relies on strawman arguments that are practically tangential to the war in Afghanistan.

Take myth number three for example, "The U.S. military is for war-fighting, not nation building." First of all, how is that a myth about the war in Afghanistan? But ignoring that semantic point check out how O'Hanlon and Sherjan prove their point, "Among top civilian and military leaders there is no real disagreement about whether the armed forces should engage in these types of activities. . ." And then the authors go on to "prove" their case by noting that nation-building has the support of US leaders from Petraues to Rumsfeld. If you're wondering how that proves the US military is for war-fighting, not nation building your guess is as good as mine. For example, if I find a political party whose top leaders believe that climate change is a giant hoax it doesn't make them correct. Or if the nation's top political and military leaders believed that invading Iraq in 2003 was a smart move . . . well you get the idea. These guys seem to have consensus/fact confusion - a recurrent disorder for those who live in the Washington DC metropolitan area.

But there's more, O'Hanlon and Sherjan argue that Afghanistan is easier than the situation in Iraq because "the people of Afghanistan do not despise foreigners." The authors then go on to cite Afghan favorability ratings of the US that are around 50 percent. 

When I read stuff like this it makes me think there should be a rule that when any policy analyst uses polling data from Afghanistan - and doesn't differentiate by region - they should be forced to stand in a corner. . . or at least should be forced to stop commenting on Afghanistan. I'm the furthest thing from an Afghan expert, but even I have a general understanding that citing poll numbers, which show overall approval of the US effort in Afghanistan without differentiating between say a Pashtun in Kandahar and a Tajik in Mazar or Herat is like citing polling data in 1963 that shows Americans supported the civil rights movement . . .without differentiating between Northern and Southern views. As the authors surely must know these sorts of regional differences actually matter. Case in point, this polling data from last year, which shows the stark divide in support for the Taliban between Kandahar and the rest of the country.

But this kind of simplistic reasoning is at pace with an article that argues improved health data and cell phone usage proves that Afghanistan is easier than Iraq (huh?); or asserts that major troop withdrawals can begin in 2010 - and doesn't offer a single explanation of why or how that might actually be possible.

I suppose this "analysis" should hardly seem surprising from two people who wrote a book titled "Toughing It Out in Afghanistan" but rather than providing a compelling rationale for why the current mission in Afghanistan makes sense op-eds like this confuse rather than clarify that debate. 

But then I'm sure regular DA readers are shocked to see cheerleading for US military interventions on the opinion page of the Washington Post.

* Thanks to eagle-eye Eric Martin for pointing out that I am a poor proofreader . . 

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Mike: Shouldn't the title be the plural "Strawmen"?

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...I am a poor proofreader

Well, you're not exactly Matt Yglesias ;)

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