Democracy Arsenal

« HizballOUT? | Main | Herzliya Dispatch #4: Iran - Split between American Neocons and Israelis? »

February 02, 2010

Iran Back to the Negotiating Table?
Posted by Patrick Barry

Major news out of Iran this afternoon.  According to the Associated Press, President Ahmadinejad announced that Iran "will have 'no problem' giving the West its low-enriched uranium and taking it back several months later when it is enriched by 20 percent."  The announcement, if it turns out to have the full backing of the Iranian regime, would be a sizable shift, as it had appeared that Iran had essentially rejected the original IAEA proposal, which would have moved around 70% of Iran's uranium out of the country for off-site enrichment for medical purposes (although there have been signs of persistent back-channel negotiations).

As with most issues pertaining to Iran, there are some significant caveats.  For one, Ahmadinejad's response apparently doesn’t address how the uranium will be shipped out of Iran, a major sticking point for the West.  Under the IAEA proposal, Iran would ship most of its supply of uranium out at once, which would hypothetically set back their nuclear break-out ability by about a year.  Iran's original counter-offer would have shipped out the uranium in batches, which would not have given the international community the same assurances.  The AP story also notes that according to Ahmadinejad, Iran's uranium would only he held for four or five months, and not the full year that "Western officials say it would take for Iran's enriched fuel to be turned into fuel rods for the reactor," further confirming that the timing disagreements have not been resolved.

In addition, it still isn't clear that Ahmadinejad has the full blessing of the rest of the Iranian regime. The Iranian President was said to be supportive of the IAEA proposal before, but as the latter part of the year wore on, Iran's intransigence grew.  Some speculated that this meant that Ahmadinejad had been unable to cobble support from the various factions within the Iranian government, which was also still reeling from the turmoil that unfolded after the June Presidential elections.  This announcement might indicate a new degree of unanimity within the Iranian regime, Ahmadinejad feeling emboldened, or some other dynamic.

So what are the next steps? It's probably too early to tell.  On the one hand, this is a dramatic shift for the simple reason that Iran has not shown public approval of the IAEA plan to such an extent.  However, skeptics will point to factors like the ones detailed above as a sign that Iran is continuing to stall.

Whatever the case, we will be following this closely in the days ahead.  

TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.typepad.com/services/trackback/6a00d83451c04d69e201287754e3ef970c

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Iran Back to the Negotiating Table?:

Comments

Hi,
The Bush Administration oversaw the most stringent sanctions on Iran. These began with unilateral measures first against Iranian industry, then against all activities of the Revolutionary Guard, and have culminated with the addition of the targeted measures against banks deemed to be involved in transfers to terrorist groups or the financing of Iran’s nuclear program, measures chiefly devised by Treasury Under Secretary for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence Stuart Levey.

I would say Iran is not going to stop with their nuke weapon activity. They're just buying time. As far as Israel goes, they have every right to defend themselves. Iran wants to blow them up. That's a direct threat. I don't blame them. Ever since the UN gave them that area of land, they've been defending themselves and their right to be there. Palestine has fought with them for years and years, each taking turns occupying each others borderlands. The problem is Iran, not Isreal, not Palistine and if our government buys into this idea that Iran has suddenly "seen the light" they're dumber than I ever imagined.


2010 latest style Seven Jeans.A variety of styles of True Religion Jeans offered here.High praised from the cusotmers.Official online store for Seven for mankind,free shipping and fast delivery

Thank you very much for sharing.!

If you have PANERAI Watches , I still have my idea to achieve.

We all know these years china pallet racking in china develop very fast, now the design capacity of racking is very strong in china.
You can see every kind of china racking in china, includingDrive in racking,
cantilever racking, shelving,Longspan shelving, dexion racking,. We also have very experienced engineer to do the design and instlaation job.

as a whole contractor for refrigeration equipment, design, manufacturing, installation of cold store

Yellow lens of Ray ban wayfarer can 100% filter UV, allowing infrared and 83% visible light through the lens.

Its greatest feature is that you can filter the sun's most dazzling blue.

Sunlight through the atmosphere, the most performance is the blue light, which is why you see the sky is blue. Yellow lens filters blue light, the natural scenery can be seen more clearly. So driving with a yellow lens Ray ban 2010 sunglasses, you can more clearly see from the vehicle.

Ray ban sunglasses sale


ray ban 2010 sunglasses sale


ray ban sunglasses sale


ray ban wayfarer message from http://www.eyewear-rayban.com

We don't take the luxury route, just playing crazy exaggeration and assertive personality. In addition we break the traditional and innovative stainless steel bracelet, stainless steel rings and so on. Our stainless steel jewelry has great stage effects. The color, texture and design are very fashion. The breakthrough in molding achieves the strong sense of art stainless steel jewelry. It experiences a foreign land and customs, tracking the trend of the international fashion accessories. Our company welcomes the large stainless steel jewelry wholesalers to e-mail consultation.
E-mail: sus360@hotmail.com
website: http://www.sus360.com

During each day, up to a hand wearing a (worn on the ring finger or little finger, never to be worn on links of london saleother fingers, if the hands have been wearing a wedding ring or engagement ring, the hand would not have worn anything else), links of london sale can be put on watch, pearl bracelet (or other beads of the bracelet).

Very informative and trustworthy blog. Please keep updating with great posts like this one. I have booked marked your site and am about to email it to a few friends of mine that I know would enjoy reading

Türkiyenin ilk Hiphop Sitesi için tıkla -> Hiphop <-
Gekko G Fan Sitesi için tıkla -> Gekko G <-
Mask Animasyon sitesi için tıkla -> Mask animasyon <-

Are you fighting in Final Fantasy XIV for FFXIV Gil or Final Fantasy XIV Gil?
Can you suffer yourself being called newbie in FFXIV Gil game?
Are you seeking unofficial Buy FFXIV Gil cheats or Final Fantasy XIV guides in order to make Final Fantasy XIV Gil faster?
Can you get millions of Cheap FFXIV Gil in one day?
Even if you know how to farm Buy Final Fantasy XIV Gil you have to prepare enough Final Fantasy XIV Power Leveling first to buy height class Final Fantasy XIV Items, to upgrade your Final Fantasy XIV characters.
Buy aika gold
Then why not Buy FFXIV Gil from us?
In Final Fantasy XIV it's the fastest way FF14 Gil,for you to get rich. We are online 24 hours a day ready and 7 days one week to power up your FFXIV Gil accounts with FFXIV Gil. Here is the best place for the Final Fantasy XIV Online players to buy your Final Fantasy XIV Gil.
We are the professional website in FFXIV GIL sale.FFXIV GIL here,We are professional FFXIV Power Leveling online. We update price every single day to make sure we are the lowest in the market.(we don't compare price with scam sites which uses unbelievable low price to deceive.)
Our slogan:Cheapest price, Fastest delivery, Best service!

Cheap aika gold
In the 2 years we are in this field , AIKA Goldbuilt many business with tens of thousands of customers. They are very satisfied with our service.So if you want to get a log of Cheap FFXIV Gil ,no doubt ,come to our website to buy. Our customer service is ready for you on line now!(GM MMO)

"Western officials say it would take for Iran's enriched fuel to be turned into fuel rods for the reactor," further confirming that the timing disagreements have not been resolved.

So what are the next steps? It's probably too early to tell. On the one hand, this is a dramatic shift for the simple reason that Iran has not shown public approval of the IAEA plan to such an extent. However, skeptics will point to factors like the ones detailed above as a sign that Iran is continuing to stall.

Just want to say what a great blog you got here!I've been around for quite a lot of time, but finally decided to show my appreciation of your work!

Thnak you admin

Want to make some change to your iphone 4? white iphone 4 Conversion Kit will be your best choice! Come and try on!

Iran post back nice the..

an is not going to stop with their nuke weapon activity. They're j

Every time I see blogs as good as this I KNOW I should stop surfing and start working on mine!

Thanks a lot for enjoying this beauty article with me. I am appreciating it very much! Looking forward to another great article. Good luck to the author! all the best!

in going unnoticed. The City of Inkster will continue to vigorously investigate and prosecute individuals who betray the consumer's trust in our community," said Inkster Police Chief Gregory Gaskin.

involved my curiosity about the distant lightning shows at night, absent an accompanying thunderclap. I was informed that what I was witnessing was “heat lightning.” I don't know how this term was coined, but it suggests that heat lightning is in some manner different from the

Well, the Dog Days of Summer are upon us.TERA RMT
And unlike in the C9 RMT
recent past, this summer we have seen a strange chemical substance (dihydrogen monoxide) falling from the sky. For those who were asleep in Chemistry GE RMT
class: that would be RAIN. TheFW RMT

Well, the Dog Days of Summer are upon us.TERA RMT
And unlike in the C9 RMT
recent past, this summer we have seen a strange chemical substance (dihydrogen monoxide) falling from the sky. For those who were asleep in Chemistry GE RMT
class: that would be RAIN. TheFW RMT
political forces took note of the amount of

Well, the Dog Days of Summer are upon us.TERA RMT
And unlike in the C9 RMT
recent past, this summer we have seen a strange chemical substance (dihydrogen monoxide) falling from the sky.

For those who were asleep in Chemistry GE

RMT
class: that would be RAIN. TheFW RMT
political forces took note of the amount of

your post has so rich content!

So what are the next steps? It's probably too early to tell. On the one hand, this is a dramatic shift for the simple reason that Iran has not shown public approval of the IAEA plan to such an extent. However, skeptics will point to factors like the ones detailed above as a sign that Iran is continuing to stall.

Great Site, your plugins are very useful and save me a tonne of time.

I always gain new ideas here. very goo site. I give you 10 out of 10.
ryhntrr

a long terme, la fourniture de logements abordables haut de gamme de la marque de vêtements, où vous pouvez trouver ce que vous voulez, vous pouvez le voir vous ne vous attendiez, et plus de choix, la diversité,de rendre votre vie plus excitante wholesale cheap http://www.shopwholesalehandbags.com designer handbags

volved my curiosity about the distant lightning shows at night, absent an accompanying thunderclap. I was informed that what I was witnessing was “heat lightning.” I don't know how this term was coined, but it suggests that heat lightning is in some manner different from the

recent past, this summer we have seen a strange chemical substance (dihydrogen monoxide) falling from the sky.

For those who were asleep in Chemistry

Now this is very good. Do you think? I feel good. Ha ha

No matter how many times negotiation goes still they won't stop. Just like here in my country. Government officials keep on negotiating with the rebellion groups but still they keep on fighting.

Thank you so very much for taking the time to share…very useful, indeed!

Post a comment

Comments are moderated, and will not appear on this weblog until the author has approved them.

This weblog only allows comments from registered users. To comment, please Sign In.

Subscribe
Sign-up to receive a weekly digest of the latest posts from Democracy Arsenal.
Email: 
Powered by TypePad

Disclaimer

The opinions voiced on Democracy Arsenal are those of the individual authors and do not represent the views of any other organization or institution with which any author may be affiliated.
Read Terms of Use