Nigeria is the New Yemen Posted by Patrick Barry

Just kidding!  Josh Rogin notes that while many are discovering that the U.S. actually has a policy toward Yemen, the State Department is expanding its gaze to include Nigeria:

...according to a new report made public Monday, Nigeria is at risk of becoming the same type of breeding ground for violent extremism that America is now battling in so many other places around the globe.

"Government neglect is provoking disaffection that, if left unchecked, could lead to the growth of insurgency or even terrorism," the report states. "Increased desertification in the North and a growing population mean increased competition for already scant land and water resources. In the South, where unemployment among youths is widespread, vandalism against infrastructure such as pipelines is almost a way of life. Newly armed groups of youths readily join in the sabotage activities and kidnappings, upping the stakes for control of the energy resources of this area. Nigeria is also haunted by ethnic and political conflicts that have erupted in violence on multiple occasions in recent years. Despite all these issues, Nigeria is crucial as a U.S. partner and regional leader."

The problems Nigeria faces are no doubt serious, and instability there does raise concerns about the country turning into an extremist hot-spot, but what I think this story illustrates more than anything is the problems of extremism-centric thinking.  If the U.S. has interests in Nigeria, it is primarily because Nigeria is one of 22 emerging markets in the world, the 2nd largest economy in Africa (not including Egypt) and the U.S.' second largest trading partner south of the Sahara.  Extremism in Nigeria is important to the extent it impacts these other things, but not so much as something independent from them. 

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Instead of the US blaming itself for neglect and incompetency over the failed christmas day bombing, they are busy blacklisting countries. It is rather stupid and silly to blacklist a whole country because one wacko individual turned himself in to terrorists.

The US does not seem yet (8 years after 911) to fully understand the nature of the threat they face. Today, there are al qaeda and terror minded people in virtually every country including the US, the UK etc. Therefore blacklisting countries except known state terror sponsors is plain stupid. The next attack will not come from a nigerian national. It will come from a national of a country not in the current US list. Alqaeda and other terrorists are watching what you do and adapting. Before long, the entire world will be on that list.

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