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December 02, 2009

What Royce Reveals about Pakistan's Interests
Posted by Patrick Barry

Congressman Royce wonders whether the Pakistani intelligence service is making presumptions about its support for militant groups in Afghanistan that are in fact not in its interests.  Sec. Clinton agrees, but points out that she has witnessed a remarkable shift in Pakistan's security calculus, evidenced by their offensives in Swat and South Waziristan against the Pakistani Taliban and the TNSM.  I'm slightly amused by this, because it seems like that shift in calculus coincided exactly with the period in which those militant groups began targeting Pakistani institutions with much more ferocity.  So from that perspective, Pakistan has been perfectly consistent in the way it calculates its interests!  When it feels threatened, it responds.  When it isn't threatened, it sits back.  As long as the Afghan Taliban doesn't threaten the Pakistani state (and there's no clear indication that it does, or will), why should the Pakistanis take strong action against them?

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Comments

Hi,
When Pakistan was threatened Pakistan decided it was best to side with you. Now that you are stuck isn’t it interesting how Pakistan has striking “peace deals” and attacks within Afghanistan are intensifying.

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