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December 18, 2009

The Coalition's Coalition
Posted by Patrick Barry

Laurel When will General McChrystal know that he has achieved optimal coordination of all the countries under the NATO-ISAF umbrella? How about when the dudes in the French Foreign Legion are on the same page as the rest of his command?

"The result is one of the fiercest units in Nato’s arsenal. But their current mission, much to the soldiers’ frustration, is to befriend the population, not fight them. 'Most guys here are looking for a gunfight — we’re looking for a war,' said James. 'It doesn’t matter who’s war, or for what reason.'"

Apparently Michael isn't the only one looking to get out of the COIN game.

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Great post.I would like to say while widely applied to political coalitions in national assemblies and cabinets, theories of coalition formation have seldom been tested at the local level of government. This article presents a model of coalition formation in connection with mayoral elections in Norwegian local councils and tests it on the basis of the first systematic collection of data on the election of mayors from a large number of municipalities. It finds small significant effects on the probability that oversized coalitions will be formed. Contrary to "common" knowledge, the size of a municipality has a positive influence on the conflictual climate, and thus on the size of the coalitions formed, which implies that the probability that an oversized coalition will form is higher in a large than in a small municipality. It also finds that the possibility that an oversized coalition will form increases if one party controls a majority of the councilors on its own, and if the majority is non-socialistically controlled. The assumption of a strong norm for reaching consensus-based decisions, reinforced by the design of the local political institutions, is supported.

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Most infantry in any NATO army would give you the same response, especially those units with higher standards and unit legends based on fighting prowess like paratroopers, the FFL, Marines, etc. Men who join infantry units WANT to fight, for the most part. That doesn't mean these gents are ineffective COIN practicioners.

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