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August 25, 2009

Nuclear Posture Review: Say it Ain't So DoD
Posted by David Shorr

A very important warning from Ron Rosenbaum at Slate that inertia and resistance from the Pentagon's nuclear weapons establishment threaten to undermine President Obama's stated goals for nuclear disarmament and nonproliferation. The piece makes a number of excellent points, but most important is how Rosenbaum highlights the link between the United States' doctrinal reasons for having (and potentially using) nuclear weapons and the associated policies to preserve nuclear forces. The key grafs, worth quoting at length, point out that early hints related to the impending Nuclear Posture Review could be devastating for nuclear disarmament:

The first disquieting signal on this front came earlier this month, when the Pentagon released a series of talking points about the upcoming NPR. Although the release began with lip service to [the goal of] Zero, it quickly moved on to a long list of desiderata for maintaining, updating, modernizing, and improving our nuclear-weapons-deterrence system. "In his April 5, 2009 speech in Prague," the Aug. 6 NPR talking points begin, "President Obama made clear his intent to reduce the role of nuclear weapons in U.S. national security strategy and to take concrete steps toward a world without nuclear weapons. He also promised that as long as nuclear weapons exist, the United States will maintain a safe, secure, and effective arsenal to deter any adversary, and guarantee that defense to our allies."

"He also promised ..." That's what the NPR talking points are all about: The "also" reality we actually live in where Zero is just a dream.

Note the wording "as long as nuclear weapons exist": The Pentagon is committed to business as usual. There are also little code words in there for those in the know. Consider effective, which, in this context, can be interpreted to mean that the aging and supposedly deteriorating nuclear warhead stockpile needs more than the current "Life Extension Program" (an ironic name), which works to refurbish fissile warheads from the Cold War to ensure the credibility of their deterrent value. Most of the nuclear establishment has been straining at the bit to junk the LEP and replace it with the RRW—the "Reliable Replacement Warhead" program—which would involve developing an entire new generation of nuclear warheads and probably require underground testing (rather than the computer simulations disparaged as insufficient), and thus continued U.S. refusal to sign the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test Ban treaty. Obama has made signing that treaty one of his goals, but the nuclear-weapons-making establishment doesn't want to be hamstrung by it. Just another way the nuclear bureaucracy is derailing the commander in chief's goals.

There is absolutely no necessary logical connection between "as long as nuclear weapons exist" and the development of new nuclear warheads. The only real implied commitment in that sentence is to retain a nuclear arsenal to deter others from launching a nuclear attack -- i.e. forces sufficient to meet any such attack with a devastating retaliatory strike (God forbid). Rosenbaum also helpfully links to an sensible, readable, and implementable proposal from the good people at Natural Resources Defense Council and Federation of American Scientists. I just hope Rosenbaum is wrong about where the posture review is headed.


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les chaussures. Ils viennent en plusieurs couleurs différentes, des conceptions et des coupures. Pour les adolescents qui aiment jouer à un jeu de basket-ball après l'école, ils peuvent choisir une paire de mi coupé Nike Air Force 1 Mid Enfants
Air Force One. Certaines écoles ont des règles strictes sur les couleurs des chaussures. Nike Air Force 1 Mid Femmes
Ils ne peuvent pas être trop fantaisiste à la recherche. Il ya plaine de la recherche, l'une des chaussures de couleur, qui sera adapté pour les étudiants de ces institutions. Lorsque vous arrêtez et pensez au style Nike Air Force 1 Mid Mens
de vie d'une adolescente typique, vous devez réaliser qu'il ou elle est susceptible d'être engagé dans toutes sortes d'activités - sports, shopping, aller à l'école, etc Une paire de Nike Air Force 1 Premium
chaussures de sport de marque qui co?tent une petite fortune ne Nike Air Force 2 Faible Hommes
semble pas être le produit idéal pour un adolescent. Le style de vie active d'une personne énergique s'usera les chaussures plus rapidement que la plupart des gens. Par conséquent, la conception d'abordabilité, Nike Air Force 2 femmes à faible
de confort, et simpliste est la clé. Nike Air Force One Nike Auto Groupe 180 mi
possède toutes les caractéristiques 3. Parce que cette Nike Delta Force Haute AC Femmes
ligne de produits offre un grand confort, un adolescent peut-il porter pour presque n'importe quoi - jouer au tennis, de football de rue, parties présentes, et plus encore. Les adultes peuvent ne pas être attirée Nike Delta Force Lowsur les designs colorés. Mais pour les adolescents, ce produit est un que winner.Visit pour les derniers modèles de chaussures de marque.

Hello I just wanted to leave a comment to say that I enjoy your blog. Looking at the number of comments, I see others feel the same way! Keep up the good work Silver Price Per Gram CQM

Hello I just wanted to leave a comment to say that I enjoy your blog. Looking at the number of comments, I see others feel the same way! Keep up the good work Silver Price Per Gram CQM

Don’t ride the high horse.

This is a great blog,I like this post it is very good and informative.I am sure that this post will be very much helpful for people.

I'm psyched to see what you guys come up with next cause I know it'll be just as awesome as SMB is. Keep rocking Team Meat!

interesting) nd cool site))))))) so red))))

Strength alone knows conflict, weakness is below even defeat, and is born vanquished.

The fox could possibly develop grey, but by no suggests good.

You know what charm is : A way of getting the answer "yes" without having asked any clear question. (A. Camus)

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