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June 04, 2009

The Speech and Closing Guantanamo
Posted by Adam Blickstein

One of the biggest applause lines in Cairo this morning was this:  

I have unequivocally prohibited the use of torture by the United States, and I have ordered the prison at Guantanamo Bay closed by early next year.

That this point got a pretty boisterous response shouldn't surprise anyone. Guantanamo and torture have been and remain a singularly important focus for the region and broader Muslim world. Obama reiterating his order to close Guantanamo, and pledging to do so on the timetable he laid out (assuming early next year means January) should dispel any notion that he will not follow through on this, despite setbacks in Congress and speculation that the politics and complicating factors will force his hand. In fact, telling the Muslim world directly that he will close Guantanamo could be a stronger factor in forcing his hand to do just that, because any failure to do so will undermine everything else he laid out in his speech, least of which is rebuilding our fractured relationship with the Muslim world in the first place. You could argue that the fact Obama used the phrase "ordered" instead of saying "Guantanamo will be closed early next year" allows him enough space to not actually shutdown the detention facility by that time. But any delay or equivocation will be detrimental to his overall regional strategy. Guantanamo really has become a centrifugal policy force, and if he does not close it, or tweaks the policy in a way that makes it appear not to be closed, than any renewed goodwill towards the Muslim world could be largely squandered. At that point, everything from regional cooperation on Iraq, Iran and Mideast peace could be devastatingly undermined.  And hopefully, Congress is cognizant of this fact. 

Something else struck me as fairly politically significant: There are no Republicans who could give a speech like that, but more sadly, there are only a handful of Republicans who think the President should give a speech like that. Therein lies the largest philosophical chasm between the GOP, President Obama and more importantly what our political community's perception of governing has become in recent decades: the calculus that if there is little to be gained domestically and politically-or if rhetoric might incite negative short term reactions amongst important constituencies-than there is little reason to take action. This mentality defined the Bush administration and Rove era politics. But this speech was perhaps the biggest disengagement with that mentality, one that at first impression might not have an immediate beneficial impact domestically, but will in the long-term go far in actually enhancing America's national security.

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