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March 26, 2009

We Know Not What We Do in Pakistan
Posted by Patrick Barry

Reading today about Pakistan's military intelligence agency's (ISI) persistent connections to the insurgency in Afghanistan doesn't leave me with much hope that this problem is going away anytime soon:

American officials have complained for more than a year about the ISI’s support to groups like the Taliban. But the new details reveal that the spy agency is aiding a broader array of militant networks with more diverse types of support than was previously known — even months after Pakistani officials said that the days of the ISI’s playing a “double game” had ended.

Bush administration complaints do not appear to have changed the outlook of ISI factions or curbed their associations with insurgents in Afghanistan. And while there may still be steps we can take to support Pakistan's efforts to rein in these rogue elements (Mullen's efforts to re-establish mil-to-mil relations are a good start), the most encouraging tidbit from a very discouraging article may be that western officials are beginning to realize that they may just have to live with this reality:

In a sign of just how resigned Western officials are to the ties, the British government has sent several dispatches to Islamabad in recent months asking that the ISI use its strategy meetings with the Taliban to persuade its commanders to scale back violence in Afghanistan before the August presidential election there, according to one official.

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I posted about this as well, http://smartinfluence.blogspot.com/2009/03/pakistani-government-aid-to-militants.html

We need to figure out how deep the ties to militants go, and how high in the government they are, before we formulate a plan on who to deal with in Pakistan.

So, in other words, Afghanistan is not harder than Iraq. But Pakistan is.

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