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December 01, 2008

Casualties Drop in Afghanistan for December
Posted by Patrick Barry

There was one U.S. military casualty in Afghanistan this month, a statistic that would not ordinarily be at all surprising, since fighting there is traditionally less intense during the winter months.

What does make this news surprising is that it comes amidst a lot of speculation that the Taliban intend to carry on their offensive through the winter (Note: I am just as complicit in this as anyone).  Divining too much from one month's data point is probably unwise, but it may be a sign that the insurgents are not off to the auspicious start they would have liked.

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Patrick, good point and this is definitely a good sign. But keep in mind that while only one American died in November, 11 troops from other countries did, making November 2008 the second deadliest November of the war for coalition forces. Only November 2007 was worse.

Troops here are more alert, commanders are more cautious, and the general pucker factor has increased among Americans. The number of attacks, if anything, seems to have increased, but the effectiveness has dropped.

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But for about a year now, these threads seem to drop like stones... I wonder what happened about a year ago to make U.S. occupations an acceptable thing. Weird.

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