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October 02, 2008

McCain and the Realists
Posted by Ilan Goldenberg

There has been this constant meme in the press over the past few months regarding the struggle for John McCain's soul.  Is he a Neocon or is he a realist?  I don't know why people are so confused about this?  Just look at where the grand pubahs of Republican realism (Kissinger, Schultz, Scrowcroft, Powell, Baker and even Gates) stand on pretty much all the foreign policy issues of our day and it becomes pretty obvious that McCain is no realist.

On Russia:  Gates recently gave a speech calling for a more moderate approach.  Kissinger and Schultz recently put out an op-ed calling for closer engagement. And at the recent Secretaryies of State forum Kissinger, Baker and Powell all pushed a moderate approach.  Does that approach sound at all like what McCain had to say at the debate?

Well, I was interested in Senator Obama's reaction to the Russian aggression against Georgia. His first statement was, "Both sides ought to show restraint."

Again, a little bit of naivete there. He doesn't understand that Russia committed serious aggression against Georgia. And Russia has now become a nation fueled by petro-dollars that is basically a KGB apparatchik-run government.

I looked into Mr. Putin's eyes, and I saw three letters, a "K," a "G," and a "B." And their aggression in Georgia is not acceptable behavior.

On Iran:  Kissinger believes we should talk at the Secretary of State level.   Baker's Iraq Study Group called for direct engagement with Iran.  Scowcroft has also called for dropping preconditions for talks.  But McCain opposes this position:

Senator Obama twice said in debates he would sit down with Ahmadinejad, Chavez and Raul Castro without precondition. Without precondition. Here is Ahmadinenene (ph), Ahmadinejad, who is, Ahmadinejad, who is now in New York, talking about the extermination of the State of Israel, of wiping Israel off the map, and we're going to sit down, without precondition, across the table, to legitimize and give a propaganda platform to a person that is espousing the extermination of the state of Israel, and therefore then giving them more credence in the world arena and therefore saying, they've probably been doing the right thing, because you will sit down across the table from them and that will legitimize their illegal behavior.

On Iraq:  There was almost universal opposition to the surge from the realists.  Baker's Iraq Study Group plan called for a major reduction in forces by 2008.  Powell made the case that putting more troops in Iraq would put too much strain on the military.  Scrowcroft opposed the war in the first place.  I think we all know what McCain's position on the surge was.

Add to this other things like McCain's opposition to talking to North Korea or his support for the League of Democracies and it becomes pretty apparent that across the board McCain's position is very different than that of all the preeminent realists in his party.  There really isn't much of a struggle for McCain's soul.  The man's foreign policy pretty obviously mirrors that of George W. Bush - some combination of ideological Neoconservatives and more traditional general hawkishness. 

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