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December 05, 2011

Reading List: Nuclearizing Iran
Posted by Heather Hurlburt

Gosh, Foreign Policy, do experts "of all stripes" really think that Iran getting a nuclear weapon -- something no one, conservative or liberal, really wants -- is such a catastrophe that, as it is reported Senator Kirk will say tomorrow:

if Iran gets the bomb -- we, the United States of America and freedom-loving nations around the world, will have failed in what could be our generation's greatest test,

Well, no.  In fact, lots of former intelligence officials and non-ideological types have been in the forefront of urging caution on exactly this topic.  Their reports are good to read with the AEI report...

Brookings' Bruce Reidel, former National Intelligence Officer:

Israel will continue to have military superiority over any and all of its enemies, backed by the support of the world’s only super power, the United States. Iran is backed only by Syria, and that relationship is in deep trouble because Syrian dictator Bashar Assad is in deep trouble. Iran is not an existential threat to either America or Israel.

RAND's James Dobbins, who spent a career at the State Department dealing successfully with bad guys from Iran to Kosovo to Haiti:

It is not inevitable that Iran will acquire nuclear weapons or even that it will gain the capacity to quickly produce them. U.S. and even Israeli analysts continually push their estimates for such an event further into the future. Nevertheless, absent a change in Iranian policy, it is reasonable to assume that, some time in the coming decade, Iran will acquire such a capability.

There's more -- our team will add it as we pull it up.

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Nevertheless, absent a change in Iranian policy, it is reasonable to assume that, some time in the coming decade, Iran will acquire such a capability.

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In fact, lots of former intelligence officials and non-ideological types have been in the forefront of urging caution on exactly this topic.

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yes, Iran will acquire such a capability.

Aslında, eski istihbarat yetkilileri ve çok sayıda sivil-ideolojik türleri, tam olarak bu konu üzerinde dikkatli çağıran ön planda olmuştur.

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The words "nuclear" and "Iran" are enough to make people and government panic. So there are diverging views of how to approach Iran's "potential nuclear threat.

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